Counting of votes is going on after the Karnataka assembly elections. Congress is leading in the race. It is clear from the trends that Congress is emerging as a major party in Karnataka. The final results in the southern state will have a bearing on next year’s Lok Sabha elections. If BJP loses Karnataka, BJP will lose the only southern state it has. Whose impact will also be on the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
Janata Dal (United) national president Rajeev Ranjan alias Lalan Singh predicted ahead of the results that the BJP “will lose the election by a huge margin”. He further said that in the coming days, BJP will also lose the assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Notably, Karnataka sends 28 members to the Lok Sabha, so losing the state would be a blow to the BJP.
Seats may decrease in Karnataka
If the BJP loses the election, then in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the party’s seats may decrease in Karnataka. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, out of 28 seats in the state, BJP won 25 and its supported independent candidate won one seat while Congress-JDS got one seat each. This time, if the BJP is defeated in Karnataka, then it will be difficult for the party to repeat the results of 2019 in the state and the seats of the Congress may increase.
Defeat can also be found in other states of South India.
Let us inform that Karnataka is considered to be the strongest state for BJP in the states of South India. Here BJP has formed the government many times before and is still in power in the state. Next year 2024 Lok Sabha elections are going to be held, in such a situation if BJP karnataka assembly election If it loses, it will be a big challenge for it to win in other states of South India – Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Andhra Pradesh, which can have a direct impact on the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
Let us tell you that Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Puducherry have a total of 130 Lok Sabha seats, out of which BJP currently has only 29 seats. Out of this, it has got 25 seats from Karnataka alone. BJP has four MPs from Telangana. It is clear that BJP’s defeat in Karnataka will make it difficult to open accounts in other states of South India.
Karnataka defeat means thorns in Loksabha elections for BJP
Looking at the geography of Karnataka, Maharashtra is in the north, Goa in the northwest, Kerala in the south, Tamil Nadu in the southeast, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana in the east. Including Karnataka, the total number of Lok Sabha seats in all these states is 179. That is, the non-blooming of the lotus in the Karnataka Assembly would mean that thorns have been sown in the path of the BJP in the path of the Lok Sabha elections.
Blow to Mission-South
There are 130 Lok Sabha seats from six southern states. These are about 25 percent of the total Lok Sabha seats. That is, South India is also very important politically.
Let us tell you that in 2019, BJP got seats in Karnataka and Telangana, but the party did not get seats in the rest of the southern states. Through Karnataka, BJP wants to spread its foot in the South, a setback in Karnataka can cause a big political loss for the BJP in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh and other southern states. In Telangana K. To defeat Chandrasekhar Rao’s government, it is very important for BJP to win Karnataka.
It will be a challenge for the BJP to make up for the seats.
Along with Karnataka, BJP’s seats may also decrease in West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Maharashtra. To make up for the loss of seats in these states, BJP will have to find new states, which will be the biggest challenge.